USA Today
By Alan Gomez
October 16, 2014
Once
again, Hispanics will represent the fastest-growing share of the
electorate come next month’s election. But new data indicates that their
impact on some of the biggest
races may not be all that big.
More
than 25 million Hispanics will be eligible to vote this year, up from
21 million just four years ago, according to a new report from the Pew
Research Center and its
Hispanic Trends Project. They will make up 11% of all eligible voters
nationwide, up from 10.1% in 2010 and 8.6% in 2006.
But their influence will be far lower in states and House districts where it matters.
Given
the geography of this year’s Senate races, Hispanics will only account
for 4.7% of the electorate in eight close Senate races analyzed by Pew.
Hispanics will have
the biggest impact in Colorado, where Democratic Sen. Mark Udall is
fighting a challenge by Republican Rep. Cory Gardner. In Colorado,
Hispanics make up 14.2% of the voting electorate.
Pew found Hispanics make up only 7.9% of the electorate in nine close governor races.
It’s
only in the 14 close House races analyzed by Pew where they will have
an outsized influence on the race – they make up 13.6% of the electorate
in those districts.
The
numbers solidify what has become a fascinating trend in the nation’s
voting patterns and the influence of Hispanics. Come the 2016
presidential election, Hispanics
will have a bigger role in deciding President Obama’s successor. Their
numbers and share of the electorate will only continue to increase. But
given the composition of the 36 Senate races on the board this year, the
geography just didn’t work out this time.
Pew has also put together breakdowns of the Hispanics electorate for each state and congressional district, so check those out.
For more information, go to: www.beverlyhillsimmigrationlaw.com
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