The Hill (Op-Ed)
By Markos Moulitsas
August 5, 2015
Donald
Trump spent weeks calling Mexican immigrants “rapists” who are
“bringing drugs,” and neither the Beltway media nor the Republican
Party’s establishment reacted
with much more than a pro forma denunciation.
But
that all changed in a hurry on July 18, when Trump called Sen. John
McCain (R-Ariz.) a “loser” for ending up in a POW camp. Republican
worthies screeched in anger,
and conventional wisdom coalesced: Trump had gone too far and was
doomed.
But that’s not what happened.
The
day of the McCain comments, Trump was leading the GOP gaggle with 18
percent in The Huffington Post polling aggregate. Today, he’s at nearly
24 percent, with each
new poll showing a more dominant lead than the one before.
No
one else in the crowded field is above 13 percent. His shtick is
resonating with base Republicans because he vocalizes, with
crystal-clear clarity, their own hatreds,
biases and bigotries.
The
McCain controversy didn’t hurt Trump because McCain isn’t particularly
beloved among Republicans. He may be lionized by D.C. media and GOP
insiders, but to the activist
Republican base, he’s downright toxic.
A
May poll of Arizona Republican primary voters found McCain receiving
just 41 percent approval to 50 percent disapproval, and a woeful 21
percent to 71 percent among
those describing themselves as “very conservative.”
And
among national Republican activists, McCain is likely even more
disliked. So while reasonable people were pretty offended by Trump’s
remarks, the Republican base —
not made up of particularly reasonable people — was unconcerned.
In
fact, they can’t get enough of Trump. For years, conservatives had to
listen for “dog whistles” from their politicians. As the GOP’s star
strategist Lee Atwater once
explained, “You start out in 1954 by saying, ‘Nigger, nigger, nigger.’
By 1968, you can’t say ‘nigger’ — that hurts you. Backfires. So you say
stuff like forced busing, states’ rights and all that stuff.” From
Ronald Reagan talking about Cadillac-driving “welfare
queens” and “strapping young bucks” buying T-bone steaks with food
stamps, to contemporary conservatives beating up on the African-American
president with claims that he was born in Kenya or that he “doesn’t
love America,” euphemism has largely replaced outright
bigotry.
But
all that dog whistling is exhausting. Conservatives have convinced
themselves they’re the silent American majority, so why should they
tiptoe around their actual beliefs?
Why are they so afflicted with Republicans afraid to shout their
conservatism loud and clear?
And
that’s the void Trump now fills, saying what Republicans think but are
generally too smart to say out loud. And the base loves him for it.
So
whether it is “investigating” President Obama’s birth certificate,
painting all Latinos as rapists or claiming that “you won’t see another
black president for generations”
because of Obama and that’s bad for “all the African-American people”
(no one claims George W. Bush ruined the presidency for “all the white
people,” do they?), Trump has replaced the dog whistle with a solid-gold
bullhorn.
That’s
why his favorability rating among Republicans is now at 50 percent to
33 percent, even though it is at 27 percent to 59 percent among all
Americans. The gap between
conservatives and mainstream America has never been wider. And the more
The Donald speaks and the crazier he sounds, the better his numbers
among the GOP faithful.
The question now is whether Trump’s rise is more than a flash in the pan.
Logic says no way. But when the conservative lizard brain is at play, logic has nothing to do with it.
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