Vox
(Opinion)
By Ezra Klein
August 18, 2015
There's an old saying that in a negotiation, he who cares least wins.
That
is, as far as I can tell, Donald Trump's strategy on immigration. He
has promised all manner of improbable outcomes — like that Mexico will
pay to build a wall that
only America wants, or that unauthorized immigrants will leave without
America having to conduct mass deportations.
It
all seems like fantasy. But when you read Trump's immigration plan
closely, you realize Trump actually has a theory of how to get this done
— it's just a very, very
cruel one.
Trump's
plan is to inflict tremendous pain on vulnerable people who have, in
most cases, done nothing wrong. In some instances, he wants to inflict
that pain in order
to make another, more powerful actor do something he wants. In some
cases, he seems to want to inflict that pain for no particular reason at
all. But his plan, read in its totality, is breathtaking in its
callousness.
If
you understand immigration policy as a kind of negotiation between the
United States government, legal immigrants, and unauthorized immigrants —
which is clearly how
Trump understands it — his plan is to win the negotiation by being
willing to inflict more suffering than the other actors can bear; he is
willing to care least about the human cost of the negotiation.
The
plan would be a disaster for immigrants if enacted. But even if it's
not enacted, the plan is a disaster for the Republican Party, which is
somehow going to need to
co-opt Trump's appeal to anti-immigration voters, but absolutely cannot
afford to be associated, in the minds of Hispanic voters, with this
document.
(Quick
note: For a more complete description of Trump's immigration plan, read
Dara Lind's excellent guide. In this piece, I focus on the plan's more
morally shocking
aspects.)
Trump's affection for collective punishment
Trump's
idea is to confiscate the money unauthorized immigrants send to their
(extremely, extremely poor) relatives back home, increase fees on a visa
program NAFTA created
for (legal) Mexican workers, increase fees on the border crossing cards
used by Mexicans who (legally) cross in and out of the United States to
work, increase fees on all temporary visas issued to Mexican CEOs and
diplomats, and increase fees on ports of entry
to the United States from Mexico.
In
other words, Trump has no actual mechanism to make the Mexican
government build a wall across the border. But his plan, such as it
exists, is to inflict so much pain
on Mexican people who need to cross the border legally, and on poor
communities that depend on remittances from relatives in the United
States, that the Mexican government buckles and builds the wall. Or
maybe the plan isn't to have them build the wall, but
to simply raise revenue under the guise of trying to pressure Mexico to
build the wall.
What's
important to understand about this plan, though, is that it's
fundamentally an act of collective punishment. Most of these ideas
punish legal immigrants for the
actions of people coming here illegally.
For
all Trump's rhetoric about loving legal immigrants, he intends to
either hold them responsible for illegal immigration or hold them
hostage in his fight against illegal
immigration.
And
that speaks to a fundamental theory that comes clear in Trump's
proposal: He doesn't see unauthorized immigration as something done by
individual immigrants but as
something done by Mexicans more generally, and something that all
Mexicans — and their government — can be held accountable for.
Targeting the children and families of unauthorized immigrants
When Mitt Romney embraced "self-deportation" in 2012, it was considered an awful mistake.
"It's
a horrific comment to make," Republican National Committee Chair Reince
Priebus later said. "It's not something that has anything to do with
our party. But when
a candidate makes those comments, obviously it hurts us."
But
self-deportation is Trump's plan, too. And Trump's insight here is that
the best way to drive unauthorized immigrants out of the country isn't
to target them. It's
to target their children and families.
He
would, for instance, ban unauthorized immigrants from receiving tax
credits meant to help their children — children who are, remember, US
citizens. But Trump would
try to get around that problem by unwinding birthright citizenship,
though he doesn't say whether he wants to amend the Constitution or
simply appoint different Supreme Court justices.
Meanwhile,
he also promises to confiscate the money unauthorized immigrants send
home to their families — though, as Lind observes, Trump's proposal says
these remittances
total $22 billion, which is actually the combined amount of money sent
home by all emigrants from Mexico, whether legal or illegal, and
regardless of whether they went to the United States or Spain or Canada
or wherever. Perhaps more importantly, Trump offers
no details on how he would distinguish remittances sent by legal
immigrants and unauthorized immigrants.
But
the plan, for all its holes, is clear in its intent: Drive unauthorized
immigrants out of the country by impoverishing their children who live
here and their families
back home. It is, again, a form of collective punishment, and it visits
its harshest sanctions on those who have done the least wrong.
Do not give us your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free
The
most unexpected part of Trump's immigration plan is his crackdown on
refugees and asylum seekers. He does three things that would make it
exceptionally hard to find
relief from oppression in the United States.
First,
he wants any immigrant who gets into the country without papers — which
is necessarily how refugees and asylum seekers arrive — detained from
the moment they arrive
to the moment they are deported. The problem for asylum seekers is that
would make it almost impossible to find a lawyer to build their case.
But as Lind says, that probably won't matter all that much, "because
most of them probably wouldn't be eligible for
asylum under the Trump administration anyway."
Which
brings us to Trump's second initiative, which is to "increase standards
for the admission of refugees and asylum-seekers to crack down on
abuses."
Trump
doesn't say what this means, but it's a safe bet that the new standards
will be pretty tough to meet. After all, the current standards are
already pretty tough to
meet — the mere fact, for instance, that you are marked for death in
your home country is not always enough to qualify.
Finally,
Trump wants to require applicants for entry into the US "to certify
that they can pay for their own housing, healthcare and other needs."
But many refugees and
asylum seekers — particularly those leaving refugee camps, or fleeing
oppression that has already taken their homes and savings — can't
support themselves immediately upon entry into the United States. Under
Trump's rules, that would make them ineligible for
entry.
Here,
too, the logic of collective punishment dominates. Trump is taking a
series of proposals meant to deter a specific kind of economically
driven unauthorized immigration
and applying them to people fleeing oppression and forced displacement.
The dark core of Trumpism
It's
easy to treat Trump as a joke at worst, or a curiosity at best. His
rise has been a wonderfully fun story, and a useful way to explore some
unusual facets of the
Republican electorate's psychology. But even despite his sustained lead
in the polls, few pundits give Trump any chance at all of winning the
Republican nomination, and even fewer feel the need to take his policies
seriously.
But
even if you don't think Trump has a chance in hell of winning the
Republican nomination — and I am not precisely sure how much longer that
position will be tenable
for — he's running a campaign that will, inevitably, put pressure on
the other candidates.
Right
now, every single Republican candidate for president is holding daily
meetings with their top strategists to develop plans for winning over
Trump's voters and, eventually,
winning over Trump so he doesn't mount a third-party candidacy.
None
of the candidates will be able to match his bluster, his bravado, or
his magnetism — and they know it. So they'll have to appeal to Trump's
voters without actually
being Trump. And the most obvious option is to match his substance.
Already, Scott Walker is bragging that his immigration plan is "very
similar" to Trump's.
But
Trump's immigration plan is deeply cruel. It punishes legal immigrants
for the actions of unauthorized immigrants, children for the actions of
parents, and refugees
from oppression for the actions of refugees from poverty. It's a plan
based on the logic of collective punishment and a willingness to care
least for the lives of immigrants.
If
the Republican Party decides it needs to adopt some of Trump's ideas to
survive, it will be a dangerous turn on two levels. It will be a
disaster for immigrants, who
need more sensible and humane policies, and it will be a disaster for
the GOP, which needs to appeal to an increasingly Hispanic electorate.
For more information, go to: www.beverlyhillsimmigrationlaw.com
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