The Atlantic (Opinion)
By Peter Beinart
June 30, 2015
After
Mitt Romney’s defeat in 2012, the Republican National Committee
published an “autopsy.” “When it comes to social issues,” the autopsy
declared, “the Party must in
fact and deed be inclusive and welcoming. If we are not, we will limit
our ability to attract young people.” The autopsy also added that, “we
need to go to communities where Republicans do not normally go to listen
and make our case. We need to campaign among
Hispanic, black, Asian, and gay Americans and demonstrate we care about
them, too.”
The last two weeks, more than any since Romney’s defeat, illustrate how miserably the GOP has failed.
Start
with June 17, when Dylann Roof, a young white man enamored of the
Confederate flag, murdered nine African Americans in church. Within
three days, Romney had called
for the Confederate flag’s removal from South Carolina’s capitol. Four
days later, the state’s Republican governor and senators called for its
removal too. But during that entire week—even as it became obvious that
the politics of the flag were shifting—not
a single GOP presidential candidate forthrightly called for it to be
taken down. Instead, they mostly called it a state decision, a
transparent dodge politicians deploy when they don’t want to make a
difficult call.
Once
South Carolina Republicans came out against the flag, the GOP
presidential candidates largely followed suit. But by playing it safe,
they forfeited their chance to
“demonstrate” that they “care” about African Americans at a moment of
deep racial trauma. The presidential campaign has been underway for
months now. Yet with the exception of Rand Paul, who has talked bluntly
about racism in the criminal-justice system, not
a single GOP presidential candidate has done anything bold enough to
change the political calculus of a community that consistently votes 90
percent Democratic.
Then,
on June 26, the Supreme Court ruled that gay marriage was a
constitutional right. If the politics of the Confederate Flag shifted
radically over the course of a
few days, the politics of gay marriage have been shifting radically
over the last few years. Young people, including young Republicans,
overwhelmingly back marriage equality. Key conservative writers years
ago conceded the fight was lost. Yet not a single
major GOP candidate risked alienating the Christian right by endorsing
the idea. Instead, they sullenly acquiesced, thus forfeiting another
opportunity to redefine their relationship with a group of Americans
whose support Republicans desperately need.
But
those aren’t the only moments in which the GOP presidential field
failed. On June 16, Donald Trump announced his candidacy for the
Republican nomination. In recent
years, Trump has obsessively questioned whether President Obama was
born in the United States and suggested he only gained admission to
Columbia and Harvard because he’s black. In his presidential
announcement speech, Trump declared that, “When Mexico sends
its people, they’re not sending their best. ... They’re sending people
that have lots of problems, and they’re bringing those problems with us.
They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists.”
For
Trump’s GOP opponents, his comments created a perfect “Sister Souljah”
moment, an opportunity to confront the offensive comments of someone on
your own ideological
side and thus win the respect of those they offend. No one took it. The
Republican National Committee called Trump a “high-caliber candidate.”
Rand Paul’s spokesperson quipped, “the more the merrier.” Mike Huckabee
said, “I personally like him.” Ted Cruz praised
Trump’s “experience as a successful businessman and job creator.” Jeb
Bush called Trump merely a “rich guy.”
In
its autopsy, the RNC called on Republicans to embrace comprehensive
immigration reform in an effort to win more Latino votes. More than two
years later, not only does
every major GOP candidate except Jeb Bush oppose it, but none will even
condemn a fellow candidate who slurs Mexican immigrants in the crudest
of ways.
The
rise of Millennials—who are more ethnically and racially diverse and
more secular than any generation in American history—is making America a
far more culturally tolerant
nation than it was when Ronald Reagan, or even George W. Bush, occupied
the White House. For the Republican presidential candidates, that means
they’re starting from behind. They begin the 2016 race burdened by
their party’s reputation for intolerance, a reputation
that becomes more politically costly every year as the result of
generational change.
In
such an environment, Republicans do not have the luxury of caution.
They can’t afford to run like Mitt Romney, whose pandering to the GOP
base during the primaries
doomed him with younger and minority voters in the general election.
One lesson of Bill Clinton’s election in 1992—an election in which
Clinton endorsed welfare reform, attacked George H.W. Bush from the
right on foreign policy, flew back to Arkansas from
the campaign trail to execute a mentally retarded murderer and picked a
fight with an African-American rapper who mused about killing white
people—is that when your party’s base is out of touch with most of the
country, you must publicly challenge that base
or else be lumped together with it.
Yet
the Republican candidates are running like this is their election to
lose. It’s not. The economy is improving. Obamacare is growing more
popular. Middle class Americans
are angrier at the rich than the poor. And culturally, the country is
racing left. Winning presidential candidates are smart enough to sense
the country’s mood at a given moment in time and bold enough to channel
it, even when that entails risk. The last two
weeks offered GOP candidates a crucial opportunity to do that. And they
blew it, every one.
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