Al Jazeera America
By Haya El Nasser
June 2, 2015
As
the protracted race for the White House and Congress unfolds 18 months
before the 2016 elections, candidates intent on garnering the
all-important Latino vote may want
to keep this in mind: Speaking and advertising in Spanish may fall on
deaf ears.
A
record 33.2 million Hispanics in the U.S. — more than two-thirds of
Latinos age 5 or older — speak English proficiently, according to new
research by the Pew Research
Center in Washington, D.C.
And
the share who speak Spanish at home has dropped from 78 percent to 73
percent since 2000. In 1980, 28 percent of U.S.-born Latinos spoke
Spanish at home and said they
did not speak English proficiently. By 2013, only 11 percent did.
Among those born in the U.S., 40 percent don’t speak Spanish at home.
“One
of the biggest findings is that there’s a growing share and growing
number of Hispanics who are U.S.-born and growing up in households where
only English is spoken,”
said Mark Hugo Lopez, the director of Hispanic research at Pew.
“Immigration has slowed down for about 10 years, and we’re coming to see
U.S.-born Latinos playing a bigger and bigger role in shaping public
opinion.”
In
2013, Latinos born in the U.S. made up 65 percent of Hispanic
Americans. They are much younger, with a median age of 19, compared with
40 for Hispanic immigrants.
As a result, Hispanic population growth since 2000 has been driven primarily by births in the U.S. rather than immigration.
It
is a changing landscape for politicians who have traditionally reached
out to Latino voters by speaking Spanish, advertising on
Spanish-language media and highlighting
their Latino connections, however tenuous.
“They
need to understand that there isn’t a single Latino profile,” said
Arturo Vargas, the executive director of the National Association of
Latino Elected and Appointed
Officials in Los Angeles. “Any candidate needs to understand that when
you’re talking to Latino voters, there’s diversity in terms of
immigration, generation and language.”
A
larger share of U.S.-born Hispanics live in homes where only English is
spoken: 40 percent, or 12 million in 2013, up from 32 percent in 1980.
About a quarter of Hispanic
adults are English-dominant, a third are Spanish-dominant, and the rest
are bilingual, Lopez said.
“With
66,000 turning 18 every month, Latino millennials can be an incredibly
influential voting bloc next year if they simply register to vote and
turn out in November,”
said Ashley Spillane, the president of Rock the Vote, a national
nonprofit, nonpartisan organization that is targeting young Americans to
register to vote. “In many ways, Latino millennials are like their
peers. They want to make a difference in their communities,
are more engaged on digital platforms.”
Two-thirds of young Latinos are active online.
“The
outreach is not about language,” said Felipe Benitez, the
communications and development director for Mi Familia Vota, another
voter advocacy group. “It’s not about
Spanish or English. It’s about addressing the issues that really matter
to our community and listening to our community.”
Marvin
Centeno Recinos was not old enough to vote in the last presidential
election. He is 20 now and is politically active as the head of La Unión
Salvadoreña de Estudiantes
Universitarios (Salvadorean Student Union) at the University of
California at Santa Cruz, where he is majoring in Latin American and
Latino studies.
He was born in the U.S., lived in El Salvador as a child, returned to the U.S. at 15 and said he speaks English at home.
He
called candidates’ appeals to Latino voters “manipulative.” He said,
“They promise people one thing, but being in college, you’re able to
deconstruct ideas behind their
advertisements.”
The issues matter more than the language they’re communicated in, he said.
“It’s
not enough to speak Spanish,” said Maria Teresa Kumar, the president
and chief executive of Voto Latino. “The issues drive them more than the
candidates — education,
jobs. And for women, it includes reproductive choice.”
The
average Latino voter is 27 years old, she said, and women that age are
more educated and aspire to more than having children.
‘It’s
not about Spanish or English. It’s about addressing the issues that
really matter to our community and listening to our community.’
Felipe Benitez
Mi Familia Vota
Social media are filled with comments from young Latinos who make it clear that language is less important than actions.
“I
don’t care if you’re married to a Latina” — like Republican
presidential candidate and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush — Benitez said,
summing up postings on social media.
“I don’t care if this guy speaks Spanish or has a Latino last name” —
such as Republican Sens. Ted Cruz of Texas and Marco Rubio of Florida.
“I care about our community. Are you going to deport my parents, yes or
no?”
There
are 600,000 sons and daughters of potential beneficiaries of Deferred Action for Parents of Americans and Lawful Permanent Residents (DAPA).
The executive action
by President Barack Obama has been blocked by the courts and is likely
to end up before the Supreme Court.
“Actions
speak louder than words,” Benitez said. “You have candidates who are
Latinos in heritage who are not addressing the issues. Immigration is
important. Jobs, education
and even climate change.”
All
the changes in the Latino electorate complicate political outreach
efforts because candidates have to appeal to non-English speakers as
well as the swelling ranks
of young Latinos who may not speak Spanish.
There’s
another challenge: About 75 percent of the Latino electorate was born
in the U.S., but it’s the 25 percent who are older, naturalized citizens
who are more likely
to vote. So candidates can’t ignore the smaller segment even though the
other is growing at a faster rate, Vargas said.
“Those
Latino voters getting information from Spanish media are only going
away when they pass away,” he said. “The Spanish-language strategy
versus the English-language
strategy is something we’re struggling with ourselves. We do not have
English-media companies that specialize in talking with Latinos.”
The share of Latinos who get their news in English is rising, Lopez said.
“The
way I would use Spanish-language media is as an avenue to leverage
voters, to have conversations about voting with the younger set who are
English-dominant,” Kumar
said. “Most watching Spanish-language media are not voters, but their
children and grandchildren are.”
It’s
not clear if the candidates’ media strategies will change in 2016 as
evidence mounts that the Latino vote is becoming increasingly diverse.
So far, the focus has
been on the early caucus and primary states Iowa and New Hampshire,
which have small Latino populations compared with more populous states
such as New York, Texas, Florida and California — big players in
national election outcomes.
Democratic
presidential candidate Hillary Clinton took a big step toward appealing
to Latino voters by recently naming Amanda Renteria as her national
political director.
Renteria was the first Latina chief of staff for a congressional
lawmaker — Sen. Debbie Stabenow, D-Mich.
But
Clinton’s stop at a Chipotle restaurant for a burrito bowl on the way
to Iowa to kick off her presidential run has garnered some derision, not
only for the amount
of coverage it received but also for what some said was an attempt to
reach to Latinos and liberal foodies who favor the chain’s more
sustainably sourced offerings.
Bush
told ABC that he goes to Chipotle too but that "we normally cook our
own food, my own Mexican food, at home. It’s pretty good."
Will any of this galvanize Latino voters?
“Anybody
who understands a national presidential campaign understands that the
Latino vote is up for grabs,” Rep. Loretta Sanchez, D-Calif., told The
Wall Street Journal.
“And so if you’re going to disrespect us by thinking you can come in in
the last two weeks and throw us a guacamole and tortilla chip party and
say, ‘Hola, amigo,’ and somehow we’re going to vote for you, it doesn’t
happen that way these days.”
No,
it doesn’t, especially since more Hispanics are becoming more
assimilated into American culture and may not even speak Spanish.
“It
may be becoming harder to have a single effort to reach Hispanic
voters,” Lopez said. “Yes, Spanish is important, but many may not be
eligible to vote. The growing
part of the community is the U.S.-born, English-speaking. They’re more
dispersed around the country but also more dispersed in where they get
their information. They get it from the Internet. They get it from
radio. It may be harder for candidates to reach
them.”
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