Politico
By Darren Samuelsohn
October 20, 2015
On
Capitol Hill today, Senate Republicans are pushing for a bill to crack
down on "sanctuary cities." Donald Trump keeps talking about building a
wall between the U.S.
and Mexico. President Barack Obama is bracing for a Supreme Court
battle over one of his last remaining domestic priorities, an executive
order protecting more than 4 million illegal immigrants from being
deported.
Immigration
remains one of the country’s thorniest policy issues, one unexpectedly
thrust to the fore by the presidential campaign. To size up how the
latest Senate clash
over immigration fits into the broader national debate—and how the
heated rhetoric matches the reality on the ground—POLITICO senior
reporter Darren Samuelsohn interviewed John Sandweg, Obama’s former top
attorney at the Department of Homeland Security and
the ex-chief of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement.
Sandweg
suggested that Trump’s wall “would probably compromise border security
more than it would help it,” and explained that birthright citizenship
is a red herring.
And while he's supportive of Obama's recent executive actions on
immigration, Sandweg conceded the president faces a “limited window” to
get his efforts through the Supreme Court. And even if Obama wins, his
legacy could well be erased by next year's election.
Darren
Samuelsohn: The Senate is about to debate a bill to crack down on
sanctuary cities, which have loosened up on enforcing federal
immigration rules. Are these cities
really a threat to public safety?
John
Sandweg: It depends on the nature of the sanctuary city. If you look at
Chicago, what they’ve been doing is saying nobody goes to [U.S.
Immigration and Customs Enforcement].
That, when you have a convicted felon or somebody of that nature, is
crazy. It does definitely lead to a public safety concern in a situation
like that.
DS:
The Senate Republicans want to stop federal funding to those cities,
and also impose tougher mandatory sentences on undocumented immigrants
who've been caught or convicted
before. What's wrong with that?
JS:
There needs to be a more reasonable approach here, and I don't know
necessarily that the Senate imposing its will upon the states is
necessarily the answer.
An
interesting thing on the mandatory minimum, though, that no one is
paying attention to is how many people apprehended at the border
actually have a prior immigration
history, have been previously apprehended by the Border Patrol—and to
the extent you impose a mandatory minimum on those individuals, you're
going to fill up the federal prisons pretty quick with huge numbers of
individuals.
DS: Why have sanctuary cities emerged as such a focal point of the immigration debate?
JS:
It's a reaction to a perceived increase in enhancement in enforcement
activity in immigration. Certainly, during the times I was at DHS,
obviously the numbers of people
removed from the United States increased. At the same time, we shifted
the focus to the jails.
It's
not what I think the advocacy groups felt it was, that the shift of the
jails triggered the increase in removals, but there was a perception
that was created that
that was the cause and effect. And so…because the agency starts
shifting to focus on the jails, the advocacy community starts shifting
to what could they do to slow down ICE in their efforts to remove people
from the jails. And so I think what you saw…was
the kind of creation of the sanctuary city policies that basically said
you cannot cooperate with ICE.
DS:
The Senate bill has already sparked a debate among some Republicans on
the need for comprehensive immigration reform. But that isn’t going
anywhere this year. Do you
think Congress can ever get back to this issue?
JS:
They have to at some point. I think there's widespread support on both
parties, with Republicans and Democrats supported. I think that there is
definitely a chance.
DS: What do you think that approach ultimately could look like?
JS:
That's a funny thing, is everybody agrees. You need to address
shortages of legal workers in the United States, especially high skilled
and low skilled. You need to
address enforcement of people who cheat, employers who cheat, who hire
people in the country unlawfully. You need to address 11.5 million
[undocumented people in the U.S.]. You need to address the border.
I
think the pillars of a bill, everybody agrees on, and the fundamentals,
everybody agrees on. I think even if you look at the polling, the
Republican party generally
supports some sort of earned path to legalization. The question is just
the politics of it.
DS:
For now, the Obama immigration executive orders are on hold by a
federal district court ruling. Where do we go if, as expected, the 5th
Circuit Court of Appeals lets
that opinion stand?
JS:
This has to go to the Supreme Court and, say the Supreme Court upholds
the president's actions but doesn't do so till the summer, you have a
presidential election
right around the corner, and you have a very short window for DHS to
put in place all the necessary parts, hire the staff to process the
applications, get all of the infrastructure together so they can accept
millions of applications....I think there would
also be a real fear in the community because there's a presidential
election, and if it's a Republican president, based on the rhetoric thus
far, it's almost certain to rescind the executive actions, which is
purely within their discretion. So I think that
if it comes down to the Supreme Court, there is a high likelihood that
the program doesn't really get off the ground this term.
If
the Fifth Circuit, however, comes out…and approves the administration, I
think then there's sufficient time to actually register and grant for
action to a large number
of individuals, and I think that would be a very significant
development.
DS: What's your take overall on what the GOP presidential candidates have been saying this year on immigration?
JS:
If you look at Mr. Trump's plan and you look at the things that Trump
has said, frankly, the Trump plan would probably compromise border
security more than it would
help it. ... The ones who are…the most moderate are throwing out the
border-first kind of rhetoric [which] really is just…a code for 'we're
not interested in passing any sort of immigration reform.'
To
be fair, though, I do think that [Jeb] Bush and to a certain extent
[Marco] Rubio certainly voted [in 2013] for the Senate [immigration]
bill. I think that they'd be
interested in trying to find a compromise should they be elected
president, but certainly, the rhetoric right now…they're catering to
their base a little bit, not to the extent that Ted Cruz or Trump are,
but certainly, they're catering to their base.
DS:
Do you think Trump can realistically follow through with his proposal
to deport all 11.5 million illegal immigrants in the U.S.?
JS:
It's not possible. If you look at the largest year in the history of
the U.S. for how many people were deported, really the number is like
400,000. So, if you have
11.5 million, I mean, do the math.
What
people forget about the immigration system, it's not just a function of
finding people or arresting people, but rather it's also processing
them through the immigration
courts…making sure that they're not going to be persecuted in their
home country, making sure that…they have their day in court. And the
amount of money it would cost, I know there's been people who have
studied this, to actually try to enforce the law against
all 11.5 million would be…probably close to $10 billion annually.
DS:
Trump is also seeking to amend the 14th Amendment to the Constitution
to end birthright citizenship. What do you make of this proposal?
JS:
From a personal level…I don't think it's necessary in the slightest. I
don't think any migration or any sort of significant amount of migration
in the United States
is based on the desire to have your child be a United States citizen.
Certainly, there is going to be a handful of cases where that's the
case, but the overall majority of people are coming here for one reason,
and that's to work or to reunite with their family
members.
DS: How about Trump's call to build a wall on U.S.-Mexico border?
JS:
We don't need it. First of all, if you look at the border, people who
know the border, and you talk to Border Patrol agents, and you can see
that it’s long border
with wildly different terrain in different spots. There's certain
spots, huge swaths of the border, 85 to 90 percent of the border that
have never, never had any number of individuals cross that border in any
sort of numbers.
If
you look at chunks of New Mexico where they apprehend a handful of
people annually, you know, there's no need to build a wall in those
isolated areas. There are certain
areas, though, where there's high flows of traffic, and the
infrastructure on the Mexican side and the U.S. side makes it a very
attractive place for smugglers to bring people across. Well, in those
areas, you have walls already currently today.
The
problem, though, is the border is a dynamic threat. People move. If you
build a wall, they're going to move into a better area to cross, and so
what the Border Patrol
is focused on, rightfully so now, is mobile technology that allows them
to detect those people, but when they shift, when you flood resources
into an area and they shift, you can shift with them.
And
if you look, though, at the history of the U.S. border, you will see
that there have been hotspots where the Border Patrol has flooded in
fixed resources that are
expensive — San Diego in the '90s; El Paso, Texas, in the 2000s;
Tucson, Nogales, or Douglas, Arizona, until the last couple of years. We
flood in the resources, and the traffic just moves.
That
is why I think the transition to a more mobile Border Patrol that's
risk based, where you detect where the people are coming and you flood
resources into that area,
but when they move, you can move with them, that is the proper
approach, not a giant wall that people tunnel under, fly over, go around
in the ocean.
DS: Can you imagine the Mexican government agreeing to Trump's demand to foot the bill for the wall?
JS: No. That seems to be a stretch.
For more information, go to: www.beverlyhillsimmigrationlaw.com
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