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Eli Kantor is a labor, employment and immigration law attorney. He has been practicing labor, employment and immigration law for more than 36 years. He has been featured in articles about labor, employment and immigration law in the L.A. Times, Business Week.com and Daily Variety. He is a regular columnist for the Daily Journal. Telephone (310)274-8216; eli@elikantorlaw.com. For more information, visit beverlyhillsimmigrationlaw.com and and beverlyhillsemploymentlaw.com

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Thursday, March 29, 2018

CNN poll: Democrats' edge dips to 6 points in midterm race for control of Congress

CNN
By Eric Bradner
March 29, 2018

The Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot has tightened to 6 percentage points, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds

The poll finds that 50% of registered voters say they prefer a Democrat in their congressional district, while 44% say they want a Republican. That’s a major shift in favor of the GOP since February, when Democrats held a 16-point edge. It’s much closer to January, when their lead was just 5 points.

But Democratic voters are much more enthusiastic about casting ballots in November’s midterm elections.

About half — 51% — of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say they are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting for Congress in November, compared with just 36% among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.

And at the same time, those voters who are deeply enthusiastic about voting give Democrats a better than 20-point lead on the generic ballot: 60% prefer the Democrat in their district, while 38% who prefer the Republican.

Overall, just 18% of voters approve of Congress, while 75% disapprove. And an even smaller share of those enthusiastic to vote in the fall, 11%, approve of the way Congress is handling its job.

Though Republicans control Congress, voters say they believe Democrats would do a better job of dealing with a host of key issues.

Among them: Health care (56% Democrats to 36% Republicans, a sharp change from 2010 when the two parties were nearly even on the issue following passage of the Affordable Care Act), the Russia investigation (51% Democrats to 35% Republicans), immigration (51% Democrats to 40% Republicans) and gun policy (48% Democrats to 40% Republicans).

The GOP is favored on just one issue: National security, at 48% to 40% Democrats.

The public is split over whether they prefer the Democrats or the Republicans in Congress on the economy (45% choose each party) and the federal budget (43% prefer the Democrats and 42% the Republicans).

The findings come just two weeks after Democrats won a stunning victory in a special congressional election west of Pittsburgh, where Conor Lamb — fueled in part by energized labor unions — narrowly defeated Republican Rick Saccone in a district President Donald Trump won by 20 percentage points in 2016.

The poll showed that Trump’s approval rating has ticked up to 42% — the highest since the 100-day mark of his presidency.

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