Huffington Post (Op-Ed)
By Richard North Patterson
February 9, 2016
This year it's different.
Breathlessly,
Republicans await the outcome of today's New Hampshire primary. In
times past, New Hampshire was, variously, a check on Iowa; a force for
moderation; a safe
haven for front runners; a boon to long shots; and quicksand for the
presumably anointed. In this unconventional year, it will likely alter
the trajectory of the presumptive leaders- not least because of Marco
Rubio's Saturday night train wreck - as well as
of those in the second tier, muddling the contest for "mainstream"
candidate while winnowing the brace of also - rans.
But
that death knell we are hearing is not just the mercy killing of
walking footnotes like Carly Fiorina. It is for the GOP establishment
and, more profoundly, for the
very idea of what a president should be.
The
ruin of the established order - big donors, lobbyists, and
professionals - has been a long time coming. For decades the
establishment has resembled the once proud
family who keeps selling off pieces of their estate so they can keep
the house. In exchange for lower taxes and laissez-faire, the
establishment subcontracted its electoral fortunes to an overlapping -
and increasingly hostile - compendium of evangelicals,
gun rights advocates, Tea Party fanatics, and less educated whites who
feel that their security, and their country, are being snatched from
their grasp. Now it is no longer enough to surround the mansion - they
want to burn it down.
The
incongruous agent of their resentment has been the billionaire Donald
Trump, followed by the self- styled bomb - thrower Ted Cruz. But in
great measure what empowers
them is the establishment's surrender to nihilistic rhetoric directed
at Washington DC. A throng of voters willing to shut down the government
is unlikely to nurture tender feelings for the grandees of the GOP.
Trump has simply focused their free-floating
hostility on a larger group of scapegoats - Mexicans, Muslims, rich
Republican donors and financiers and, Lord help us, Megyn Kelly.
In
doing so, he has become an unlikely avatar for socially vulnerable
whites who feel threatened by forces they can't control. Too late, the
GOP establishment has found
out what "class warfare" really means, and they are on the wrong end.
Financiers
and party professionals feel free to perceive the economic and
political upside of resolving the immigration mess. Not so blue-collar
workers fearful that immigrants
- legal or not - will take away their jobs , or swell the ranks of
welfare recipients who sponge off their hard-earned tax money. For them,
the GOP establishment has become another instrument of The Great Sell -
Out, the smug proponents of free trade agreements
which savage American workers.
Like
so many elites who discover that they are widely loathed, the
establishment has responded with dithering and wishful thinking.The
result is a vacuum which has consumed
the very idea of leadership.
A
widely respected GOP professional attempted to raise money for a Stop
Trump campaign, and found no takers. Even before Iowa, elements of the
established order began
gingerly propitiating their antagonists - choosing between Trump and
the widely hated Cruz. Bob Dole mused aloud that at least Trump has "the
right personality and he's kind of a deal maker;" Mary Matalin hosted a
fundraiser for Cruz. And then Iowa reshuffled
the deck a bit, with Cruz banishing the panicky myth that Trump was
invincible, while Marco Rubio surfaced in third place.
Abruptly,
some in the party's elite began clutching Rubio like a human life raft,
praying that he emerges from the scrum of New Hampshire as the
alternative to Trump and
Cruz. Beyond ratifying the impotence of the establishment, their
desperation confirms the demise within the GOP of something far more
important - the very idea of what qualifies a person to assume the most
complex and demanding office in a dangerous world.
In
saner times, there was a general understanding of those elements which
might commend a candidate. Sound judgment. A reasonable command of the
issues. At least some
relevant experience. A grasp of what the job demands which transcends
canned speeches and talking points. A balanced temperament. A certain
capacity for dignity and grace. At least a few real achievements, not
least in the realm of politics.
Add
to this the ability to inspire, but also to appreciate the political
environment. And something less tangible but no less critical - some
combination of intellectual
integrity and emotional health which keeps self regard from spinning
into sociopathy turbocharged by power - lying without shame, governing
without some genuine regard for the governed, a narcissism so deep that
it obliterates all else.
In
the recent history of the GOP, there were harbingers that these
standards were eroding - that, among a portion of the electorate, all
that mattered was anger and disdain
for government. One can cite Pat Robertson, Pat Buchanan and, even more
ludicrous, Herman Cain and Michele Bachmann. But the party's eventual
nominees reached the threshold of presidential plausibility - George
H.W. Bush, Bob Dole, George W. Bush, John McCain,
Mitt Romney.
This
year is very different indeed. Of the three most likely Republican
nominees, none is remotely qualified to be president. Indeed, their
unfitness is so patent as to
inspire fear.
The
challenge with Donald Trump is where to start. Even Ted Cruz pretends
that his campaign is about other people. Trump doesn't even get that
you're supposed to fake
it. His candidacy is, indeed, all about him, his default expression one
of aggrieved displeasure at not being "treated fairly", his mouth the
pursed "o" of a beached flounder sucking oxygen.
Imagine
year upon year of crudity, petulance, self- preening and puerile
bluster. Imagine Americans' sickening realization that they are trapped
in a dysfunctional relationship
with a boorish narcissist who has no idea of how to protect their
interests, and whose only interest is himself. Imagine the face of
America in the world as the face of Donald Trump.
That's
for openers. Trump understands nothing that a president needs to
understand. His nationalistic promise to "make America great again" is
hucksterism devoid of substance.
He has no idea of governance .He has no coherent policy for anything -
the economy, foreign policy, ISIS or trade. His "solution" to
immigration is fantastical and racist .
He
measures his candidacy by Nielsen ratings.He exudes sexism. He demeans
anyone who displeases him - opponents, reporters, women,a wide
assortment of ethnic groups, even
the disabled - the hallmark of a thin-skinned bully wholly focused on
himself. Forget Megan Kelly. Imagine Trump's conduct of a press
conference - let alone a summit conference.
But
then imagine a president who is flat out ignorant of the world. You
can't make "great deals" if you don't know what the deal is about, let
alone negotiate with counterparts
you've made no effort to understand. Even an intellectual pygmy like
Scott Walker tried memorize a world globe. Trump can't be bothered. The
ego that empowers such obliviousness is a dangerous thing - even more
dangerous when dealing with adversaries in treacherous
times. One cringes to imagine the fallout when ISIS or Putin decline to
treat Donald fairly.
Thus
it says a lot about Ted Cruz that his colleagues would prefer to jump
into the abyss with Trump. Indeed, one of the striking features of the
GOP debates is his fellow
senators' visceral loathing for their peer.
If
Trump is Huey Long without a program, Cruz is Elmer Gantry without the
charm - oleaginous, transcendently phony, relentlessly manipulative, and
intellectually dishonest
to the point of demagoguery. His triumph in Iowa was buoyed by dirty
tricks- including lies on caucus night about Ben Carson's fictitious
"withdrawal" - which Cruz then tried to cover up up by repeating more
blatant and deliberate lies blaming CNN for his
campaign's "mistake." He is the dank Prince of darkness, playing on the
resentments of evangelicals and others who feel marginalized - without
offering them, or anyone else, an uplifting vision of the future.
Even
on the campaign trail, he seems to exist in emotional isolation,
viewing voters less as people than interchangeable pawns. One-on-one, he
responds to voters' heartfelt
expressions of concern about their lives not by answering in kind, but
by reciting right - wing boilerplate from his stump speeches. There is
something deeply disturbing in his disassociation, a lack of empathy
which suggests a barren inner landscape.
To
study Cruz is to entertain the possibility of emotional disturbance.
How else to evaluate his combination of self - absorption, grandiosity,
disdain for others, and
disregard for truth? What else to make of a graduate of Princeton and
Harvard who deliberately plays to the lowest intellectual common
denominator for his own ends, with neither compunction nor shame? One
hesitates to wander too deeply into the thickets of
long-distance psychoanalysis - it is all too easy to be all too wrong.
But whether in verbal combat or miming amiability, at times one imagines
glimpsing a faintly feral, wounded look in his eyes, the hint of a
damaged soul.
Whatever
drives him, there is a certain scary fascination in watching an
exceedingly smart and calculating man condescend to his audience by
playing dumb. Cruz exalts
homophobic Kentucky clerk Kim Davis as a martyr. He lies about the
science surrounding global warming and compares himself to Galileo. He
says that he will carpet bomb ISIS into oblivion, well aware that this
is laughable as strategy. He claims that President
Obama only uses military force "if it benefits radical Islamist
terrorists." He doubles down on Trump's nativism in the hope of stealing
votes.
In
his self - scripted political psychodrama , Cruz casts himself as a
lonely ideological purist surrounded by spineless sellouts. Routinely,
he castigates the "Washington
DC cartel", portraying the GOP establishment and its leaders as self -
serving liars, the better to galvanize the embittered voters of the
right. But this is a matter of convenience, not principle - far from
being a true believer, Cruz sought establishment
support for years, and his villainization of them now is a cold eyed
tactic. His only permanent loyalty is to his own ambition.
Perhaps
the most frightening thing about Cruz's act is that it is so
transparently that - an act. His stump speeches are performances,
scripted down to the last breathy
pause, and delivered with the histrionic stage whisper of a grade B
evangelist entranced with his own performance. All this cloaked in a
cloying religiosity , often capped with an invocation to "awaken the
body of Christ to pull this country back from the
abyss."
But
as is often true of genuine hypocrites, this patina of piety covers the
meanness beneath. He savors insults and revels in his own slurs, no
matter how gratuitous.
Hence his mockery of the last GOP nominee : "I'm pretty certain Mitt
Romney actually French - kissed Barack Obama." Truly Christian;
sublimely presidential. Quintessentially Ted Cruz.
And so it comes to this - the last, best hope of the establishment is Marco Rubio.
Here
one struggles to capture the depths of his shallowness, a task akin to
grasping at vapor. For it is grim testament to Trump and Cruz that they
can frighten grown-ups
into proposing Rubio as presidential hardwood.
In
debate and on the stump, Rubio increasingly tries to compete with Trump
and Cruz through hyperbolic excess directed at Obama. With a slightly
unhinged zeal, he claims
that Obama is so "completely overwhelmed" that he has "deliberately
weakened America." Like his indictment of the president as an enemy of
the Constitution and the free enterprise system, this over-the-top
rhetoric is shamelessly stolen from the hysterical
alternate reality of talk radio."When America needed a bold plan of
action from our commander-in-chief, "Rubio proclaims, "we instead got a
lecture on love, tolerance and gun control designed to please the
talking heads at MSNBC."
But
the effect Rubio achieves is not that of a prospective
commander-in-chief, but that of a callow aspirant who is over
caffeinated, shrill, and willing to say anything
- a man wholly lacking in balance or intellectual ballast. One thinks
not of a leader, but of an overambitious sales guy looking for a
promotion he doesn't deserve - say, perhaps, to district manager.
That
marks a deeper problem . Supporters excuse the swiftness of Rubio's
attempted rise by comparing him to Barack Obama. But unlike Obama, in
Rubio there is little sign
of a deep intellect or even keen intelligence - as opposed to a certain
gift for reciting a memorized sales pitch. Thus Rubio is the most
cosseted of candidates, his campaign designed to protect him from
exposure.
His
speeches are canned, recited from a script; he "debates" by repeating
whole chunks from memory. Confronted by Chris Christie in Saturday's New
Hampshire debate, he
at last displayed for a national audience what has been obvious up
close - repeating the same utterly irrelevant attack on Obama four
times, almost verbatim, each repetition increasingly panicky and
unresponsive. It was dreadful to watch; worse to think of
him in the Oval Office.
But
this is Marco Rubio, the pretender who would be president. He meets
reporters guarded by a press aide who selects those permitted to ask the
androidal candidate a
question. Observing this unearthly phenomenon, one reporter was
reminded of "a computer algorithm designed to cover talking points." As
political insults go, Christie's characterization of Rubio as "the boy
in the bubble" is particularly apt. One wonders if
he knows or cares that he appears to have so little pride or substance-
or, in truth, whether he has the capacity to be any better then this.
He
switches positions on a dime. Most notoriously, he came to the Senate
as an opponent of a path to citizenship, then signed onto legislation
proposing such a path when
it appeared politically advantageous, then denounced his own
legislation after the GOP base rebelled.He has swapped his once
inclusive rhetoric on immigration - including the legal variety - for a
calculated echo of the barely veiled bigotry and nativism deployed
by Trump and Cruz. Thus the deeper shame of his attack on Obama for
speaking to American Muslims at a mosque is that, coming from Rubio, it
was no surprise.
Here,
as elsewhere, one searches for his principles. To appease the right,
Rubio opposes abortion in the case of rape or incest, then hints at a
softer line. Once the
proponent of green energy, he flipped and coined the great dodge of
climate deniers - "I'm not a scientist, man." Formerly not given to
public pieties, when asked in debate whether he was the "Republican
savior", he intoned, "There is only one Savior and it's
not me. It's Jesus Christ, who came down to Earth and died for our
sins." Including, one assumes, a reflexive political malleability driven
by unwarranted ambition.
Indeed,
it seems quite clear that Rubio's only reason for becoming a senator
was to run for president - not on the basis of any real accomplishment,
but by repeatedly
reciting an uplifting biographical speech which has little or no
bearing on his policy positions. Beneath that is a spotty voting record
and an unseemly eagerness to appease wealthy donors, often to fund Super
-PACs whose activities verge on the illegal.
So
what, one might ask, is Rubio all about? What are the political
passions which drive him? When has he ever done anything courageous, or
even hard? And where, in all
this, can one locate a president?
Yet,
come November, it appears likely that one of our two major parties will
ask Americans to imagine a President Trump or Cruz or Rubio. One can
but hope that, in its
collective good sense, the electorate will experience a massive failure
of imagination.
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