New York Times
By Giovanni Russonello
February 27, 2016
Donald
J. Trump bragged during Thursday night’s Republican debate that he had
won almost half the Hispanic vote in the Nevada caucuses on Tuesday.
“Nobody else was close,”
he said. Looking forward, he said, “I will do really well with
Hispanics.”
Will he?
Mr.
Trump’s history of making disparaging comments about Mexican immigrants
is well known, and as he looks to clinch the Republican presidential
nomination, he faces an
uphill battle in building trust among the Hispanic electorate.
A
Washington Post/Univision poll released on Thursday showed that among
likely Hispanic Republican primary voters nationwide, Senator Marco
Rubio was by far the leading
choice, with 34 percent support. Mr. Trump had the backing of 22
percent.
And
those who don’t support Mr. Trump are not likely to be swayed. Just 6
percent of Republican Hispanic voters named him as their second choice.
With first and second
choices combined, 53 percent said they could envision backing Mr.
Rubio, and 38 percent said so for Senator Ted Cruz. For Mr. Trump, the
number was 28 percent.
Looking
beyond Republicans, to all Hispanic voters nationwide, Mr. Trump is
deeply unpopular. Four in five have an unfavorable view of him, and only
16 percent view him
positively.
Also
of note: The Nevada entrance polls that Mr. Trump cites included
interviews with just over 100 Hispanic caucusgoers, a very small sample;
some analysts cautioned
against reading too much into those results. Tuesday’s Hispanic voters
represented only about 1 percent of the state’s Hispanic population.
By
margins of more than three to one, Hispanic voters nationwide trust the
Democratic Party more than the Republican Party to handle immigration,
health care and same-sex
marriage, according to the Post/Univision poll.
On
the Democratic side, Hispanic voters favor Hillary Clinton by a
two-to-one margin, although the same proportion of Hispanic voters views
her and Senator Bernie Sanders
favorably. Mrs. Clinton is seen favorably by 67 percent and unfavorably
by 30 percent; Mr. Sanders is viewed well by 60 percent and looked on
poorly by 23 percent.
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