National Journal
By Sarah Mimms
February 24, 2015
There's
a reason an increasing number of congressional Republicans say they're
willing to let the Department of Homeland Security shut down this
weekend: Their constituents
don't care.
For
all the fearmongering and talk of emboldening the nation's
enemies—particularly by officials at the Department of Homeland
Security—members say they're not hearing
much about the issue from their constituents. Compared to the
sign-waving and phone-banking surrounding the last shutdown, the uproar
about the potential shuttering of DHS is nearly nonexistent.
Senate
staffers on both sides of the aisle say their phones are not ringing
off the hook. Two aides said they heard much more about the Keystone
pipeline bill—which would
have created just about 4,000 jobs, per the State Department, but was
vetoed by President Obama on Tuesday—than they have about DHS.
And lawmakers just returned from a weeklong recess having heard little on the subject back home.
"I
was all over the state, went to Lincoln Day dinners, did all of those
things … and you know, I talked to hundreds of people. But as I stand
here, I can't recall one
ordinary person who raised this issue," Sen. James Risch of Idaho said
after returning to Washington on Monday after a week at home.
Risch
said that he believes the DHS crisis is much more of an issue for
Washington and members of the media than for his constituents. "These
kinds of things, unless they
have widespread consequences, they become much more inside-the-Beltway
issues," Risch said.
Risch's
experience was echoed throughout the Senate. When asked whether he'd
heard from constituents about DHS, Sen. Roy Blunt of Missouri shook his
head and mouthed "no"
while stepping into a Republican luncheon to discuss how to move
forward on the issue. Sen. Susan Collins of Maine said she'd heard about
the issue "a little bit" while at home, but largely in the form of
complaints from Transportation Security Administration
workers, whose paychecks would be delayed until after DHS funding is
restored, at the airport on her way back to D.C.
"Not
as incensed as a lot of other things in the past," Sen. Johnny Isakson
said of his constituents in Georgia. "The biggest thing right now is
probably ISIL and what
we're going to do about them. That was probably two-to-one in the
comments."
The
members' experiences are supported by recent polling on the issue.
Sixty percent of Americans in a new Huffington Post/YouGov poll say
they're not following the potential
DHS shutdown closely.
Part
of the issue is certainly an apathetic public, uninterested in the
issues before Congress and not likely to call up Sen. Rob Portman's
office or attend a barbecue
with Risch to talk with him about it.
Forty
percent of Americans polled by CNN earlier this month said that a DHS
shutdown would be a "major problem," while just 15 percent called it a
"crisis." Another 45
percent said it would be either a minor problem or not a problem at
all.
But
if there is a shutdown beginning Saturday morning, members don't expect
to hear much more from their constituents. In reality, the effects of a
shutdown would have
minimal effect on the lives of everyday Americans, at least to begin
with. Essential employees, including most Border Patrol agents, Secret
Service officers, members of the National Guard, and TSA workers would
all remain in their jobs (they wouldn't be earning
a paycheck, however, until the shutdown is resolved). During the last
shutdown, 85 percent of DHS personnel remained at work.
"I
still haven't seen the analysis of what happens in the shutdown
situation, but it seems to me that the people that are considered
essentially government employees on
things like TSA and what have you, the operation itself would not be
affected," Risch said. "People want to get on with their lives. If they
can't get on an airplane, that's a different ballgame."
The
same CNN poll showed that Republicans would earn a larger share of the
blame for a shutdown than would President Obama, but as long as the
nation's security personnel
are on the job, it's unclear whether Americans will notice the shutdown
at all. That has members wondering whether a shutdown would actually
put pressure on their colleagues to come to a deal and restore the
department's funding.
But
the longer a shutdown continues, the more the department will have to
cut corners to maintain its essential functions. And, as Collins noted,
once payday comes along
for those DHS workers, they're unlikely to stay quiet for very long.
"We're going to have a lot of unhappy DHS workers who will have to work
and won't be getting a paycheck," she said.
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