New York Times
By Alan Rappeport
January 21, 2016
Senator
Bernie Sanders and Donald J. Trump have opened up solid leads in Iowa
less than two weeks before the state’s caucuses kick off the 2016
presidential nominating
contests, according to a poll released Thursday.
The
survey from CNN/ORC shows Mr. Sanders, who was trailing Mrs. Clinton
significantly in early December, erasing her lead and overtaking her.
Likely Democratic caucusgoers
now back the Vermont senator over Mrs. Clinton by eight percentage
points, 51 percent to 43 percent. Last month she was ahead of him by 18
percentage points.
The
results could spell serious trouble for Mrs. Clinton, who is also
trailing Mr. Sanders in New Hampshire polls. While Mrs. Clinton is
leading most national polls, the
prospect of losing the first two nominating contests could deal a major
blow to her candidacy.
Iowa
Democrats are increasingly feeling set in their choice of candidates,
suggesting that there is little time left for Mrs. Clinton to regain
lost ground. Mr. Sanders
is currently seen as stronger on the economy and health care, while
Mrs. Clinton is viewed as stronger on foreign policy.
Realizing
she is under pressure, Mrs. Clinton has been criticizing Mr. Sanders
for being a self-proclaimed socialist and arguing that many of his
progressive policies
are unrealistic.
On
the Republican side, likely caucusgoers are backing Mr. Trump over
Senator Ted Cruz, 37 percent to 26 percent. Senator Marco Rubio sits in
third place with 14 percent,
and Ben Carson, whose fortunes in Iowa have plummeted, is at 6 percent.
Several
Iowa polls showed Mr. Cruz leading or tied with Mr. Trump late last
year, but Mr. Trump has been performing better after attacking Mr. Cruz
more aggressively in
recent weeks. While Mr. Cruz is seen as stronger on social issues, Mr.
Trump holds strong advantages when it comes to handling the economy,
immigration, leadership and electability in a general election.
Questions
have been raised about the strength of Mr. Trump’s ground game in Iowa,
as his campaign looks to voters who are not traditionally active in
politics to participate
in the caucus process.
The CNN/ORC poll had a margin of error of plus or minus six percentage points in its surveys of Republicans and Democrats.
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