MSNBC
By Benjy Sarlin
June 4, 2015
No
issue has tied Republican candidates into knots like immigration, where
GOP 2016 hopefuls are divided both on whether to offer undocumented
immigrants legal status
and whether to embrace or criticize legal immigration. According to a
new poll from Pew Research Center, Republican voters are struggling with
the same questions in ways that separate them from the rest of the
electorate.
In
perhaps the most striking finding, some 63% of Republican voters view
immigrants of all stripes as a “burden” who generally compete for jobs,
housing, and health care.
That’s almost a mirror image of Democrats, 62% of whom agreed with a
statement that immigrants “strengthen our country because of their hard
work and talents,” and independents, 57% of whom agreed immigrants
“strengthen” America overall.
Republicans
presidential candidates were broadly supportive of legal immigration in
2012 even as they called for tougher crackdowns on undocumented
immigrants, but 2016
is another story. Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, who won the
Iowa caucuses in 2012, has called for a 25% reduction in legal
immigration while Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker has expressed concern that
immigration levels may be depressing wages. On the
other hand, candidates like Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, Florida Sen. Marco
Rubio, and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, all of whom were raised in
immigrant households, have called for policies to make it easier to
immigrate into the United States.
Pew’s
numbers show the potential for an ugly fight on the issue, especially
in a crowded GOP field where candidates will find it hard to stand out
with conservatives.
42% of Republican respondents said they wanted legal immigration
decreased versus 28% of independents and 27% of Democrats.
The
bigger political fight, however, has long been how to address the
estimated 11 million undocumented immigrants already in the country.
Here Pew found majority support
– even among GOP voters – for letting the estimated 11 million
undocumented immigrants in America to remain in the country legally if
they meet certain requirements.
Per
Pew, 56% of Republicans support a path to legal status, versus 80% of
Democrats and 76% of independents. Republicans are less excited about
the idea, however – a 58%
majority see legal status as a “reward for doing something wrong”
versus just 23% of Democrats and 33% of independents who view it that
way. A whopping 86% of Hispanic respondents support legalization,
highlighting the challenges Republicans face going forward
in diverse swing states like Florida, Nevada, and Colorado.
While
the main debate has been over whether undocumented immigrants should be
allowed to stay at all, candidates are increasingly engaged in a
separate fight over whether
a path to legal status short of citizenship might be a better
compromise.
Pew
tested this distinction and found Republican voters split between 25%
who support citizenship and 28% who prefer permanent residency.
Democrats favored citizenship
by a 48-27 margin and independents by a 48-25 margin.
Bush,
who has gone back and forth on his stance on citizenship, has argued
legal status without citizenship strikes the right balance. Rubio
co-sponsored a Senate bill
that wold have provided a path to citizenship and still supports
eventually undocumented migrants to eventually apply for citizenship even as he’s backed away from his old legislation in favor of passing
border enforcement measures first. New Jersey Gov. Chris
Christie and Walker have abandoned prior calls for citizenship in
recent months. Cruz has indicated he may be open to legal status after
addressing border security and legal immigration first, but has ruled
out citizenship.
Sensing
a way to differentiate herself from more pro-immigration Republicans,
Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton has argued that citizenship is an
absolutely necessity
in any immigration reform package. “When they talk about ‘legal
status,’ that is code for second-class status,” she said at an event in
Las Vegas last month.
To
the extent Republicans have an opportunity to make inroads on
immigration issues, it may lie in a general dissatisfaction with Obama’s
immigration policy. Only 37%
approve of his record on the issue, which includes a broad measure –
now stalled in the courts – to temporarily halt deportations for
millions of undocumented immigrants via executive order. 48% of Hispanic
respondents disapproved of his immigration performance
versus just 44% who said they approved.
But
before the GOP can effectively attack Democrats in 2016, they have to
figure out their own position. Mirroring the sharp divisions in the
primary field, Republicans
reported to Pew they’re unhappy with how their party has handled the
topic: only 34% of Republicans and Republican-leaning respondents
approved of the GOP’s work on immigration issues versus 59% who said it
was not doing a good job. By contrast Democrats and
Democratic-leaning independents were more united, with 51% giving high
marks to the party on immigration versus 43% who disapproved.
For more information, go to: www.beverlyhillsimmigrationlaw.com



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