Talking Points Memo
By Josh Marshall
February 10, 2016
In
a year when Donald Trump is now the prohibitive favorite to win the
Republican nomination, It is likely wise not to rule anything out. But
it is also worth noting that
in addition to almost certainly ending Marco Rubio's presidential
campaign, Chris Christie probably also ended Rubio's political career.
Rubio
was elected to the Senate in the Tea Party flood-tide of 2010. So this
is the last year of his Senate term. And he has said consistently that
he will not run for
reelection even if he drops out of the presidential race.
Now,
desperation and sads have a way of changing people's minds. But
remember that Rubio has spent a lot of time making statements to the
effect that he's bored with the
Senate, hates the Senate, thinks the Senate is a waste of his time and
so forth. He's also missed a huge number of votes while campaigning for
president. He missed more votes in 2015 than any other senator.
People
will try to spin anything. But Rubio has made clear he doesn't want to
serve in the Senate anymore. It is at best his second choice for
employment. Those voluminous
quotes about being done with the Senate would make it hard to shift
gears and, if he did, provide infinite grist for Republicans and
Democrats senate aspirants to attack him with.
So where next?
Not
the House, not the Senate and clearly not the presidency. He's already
been at the pinnacle. It's hard to go back to anything else. The obvious
path is to take a few
years off and come back to run for Governor as a more seasoned, more
mature politician. If that goes well, he's back in business as a
national politician, maybe even one better positioned to make a
fifty-something run for president.
Maybe.
But
you usually don't get multiple chances at this - especially if you get
marked as a loser. The most likely scenario is that Marco Rubio's career
in elective politics
is over.
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