New York Times
By Maggie Haberman
February 9, 2016
After losing the Iowa caucuses, Donald J. Trump acted like a heavyweight champion who had just been knocked down.
He
lurched from one event to another, sounding defiant one moment and
humbled the next. He went uncharacteristically silent for most of a day
on Twitter, and barely mentioned
his polling numbers after months of bragging about them.
But
Mr. Trump’s convincing victory in New Hampshire on Tuesday finally
validated those numbers and gave the irrepressible celebrity candidate
the status his opponents
long feared, as a bona fide leader in the race for the Republican
presidential nomination.
Despite
a stream of provocative and even offensive remarks by Mr. Trump right
up to the night before the primary, comments that might have destroyed
any other candidate,
his supporters mostly appeared to have made up their minds months ago,
and never wavered.
“Wow, wow, wow,” he said as he took the stage at his victory party Tuesday night, his family alongside him.
After
beating some of the Republican Party’s brightest stars in New Hampshire
following a second-place finish in Iowa, Mr. Trump heads into a string
of primaries in conservative
Southern states in a position of strength.
For
a man used to setting the terms of whatever debate he is having, Mr.
Trump’s win on Tuesday keeps him in the race for the foreseeable future
and means he will go to
the party’s convention in Cleveland in July armed with delegates.
His
win signals not just a potential shift in the way campaigns spread
their message — social media over mainstream media; television shows
rather than news conferences;
big rallies instead of meet-and-greets — but also confirms the growing
chasm between the Republican Party’s leaders and its voters. Mr. Trump
has run hard on anxiety over terrorism and especially illegal
immigration, and his calls for mass deportations and
a “big, beautiful wall” at the Mexican border have shredded the party’s
longstanding efforts to attract the growing Latino electorate.
At Mr. Trump’s primary night party here, the mood was far more buoyant than it had been in Iowa the night of the caucuses.
“I
like his view on three items — borders, language and culture,” said
Andrew Horvit, 69, a retired businessman from Londonderry, who said he
had supported Mr. Trump since
he began his candidacy. “As time goes by it’s like a grandfather clock.
When the pendulum swings too far to the left, and it’s way over to the
left, it has to swing back to the center.”
Mr.
Trump’s win answered two key questions — whether he could actually win
after projecting he would for months, and whether his supporters, who
are not reliable voters,
would turn out on Primary Day. His victory also came after the
Republican establishment essentially averted its gaze for months, and
after most of his rivals, with the exception of Jeb Bush, made little
effort to take him on.
If
Mr. Trump has had a disorienting effect on the Republican primary
campaign, his second-place finish in Iowa had a similar effect on him.
He was frustrated by the loss,
according to people who spoke with him, and could not fathom why things
had not gone better. Suddenly, the core message of his campaign — I win
at everything I do — was in doubt.
For
the next four days, he was largely absent from the campaign trail. On
Twitter and in person he appeared uncertain at first about what to say.
He sounded notes of humility
that were supplanted quickly by firm insistence that he, not Senator
Ted Cruz, had actually won the Iowa caucuses because of improprieties by
Mr. Cruz’s staff.
Mr.
Trump canceled a town hall-style meeting in New Hampshire last week,
claiming the airports were closed due to snow and that had kept him from
traveling. They were
not closed, but the additional day gave Mr. Trump more time to prepare
for a crucial debate on Saturday night. He fared well, but it appeared
to take something out of him and he conceded he had been under “a lot of
pressure.”
The
next day, he bypassed one of his campaign stops and sounded exhausted
at a rally in Holderness, conflating his thoughts about improving the
military with his vow to
build a border wall. At one point he sounded annoyed by the length of
the drive to Manchester. He did not attend a Super Bowl party, holing up
in his hotel, tweeting.
Mr.
Trump, a man who has long relied on his feel for the room, seemed to
realize after Iowa that his instincts were not a firm compass for the
unfamiliar terrain of a
presidential race. He even behaved more like the typical politicians he
is so fond of berating.
He
hosted a few smaller events, replete with “I feel your pain”
connections with voters who told him personal stories of heartbreak. The
extra effort may have paid off.
“Here
he is, a multimillionaire,” said Ray Breslin, a retiree who went to Mr.
Trump’s event in Londonderry on Monday. “He doesn’t have to take the
time to be signing autographs
and shaking hands, either. He could just zoom out of here. It’s only a
little venue.”
Mr.
Trump, who has never thought much of the political profession, praised
his campaign manager, Corey Lewandowski, on Tuesday night, saying, “We
learned a lot about ground
games in one week, I have to tell you that.”
It
remains to be seen which version of Mr. Trump will emerge in the
Southern states, where deeply conservative voters could decide the
winners. Mr. Trump prefers the rally
format visually and because it is easier for him to perform in. He has
resisted calls from his advisers to invest more heavily in the race,
boasting about his campaign being under budget based on figures he
appears to pluck from the air. Mr. Trump barely invested
resources in New Hampshire, spending only on advertising in January.
“His
lack of running a serious, professional campaign cost him even more
potential voters than he lost in Iowa a week earlier,” said David
Carney, a Republican strategist
in New Hampshire who ran the 2012 presidential campaign of Rick Perry,
then the governor of Texas. “With the crowd of candidates about to
dramatically shrink his lack of investing in a campaign structure will
cost him even more potential delegates down the
road.”
Mr.
Trump will head to South Carolina on Wednesday, but he is not expected
to linger, with stops expected in later-voting states like Florida. On
Tuesday, he started airing
a blistering ad against Mr. Cruz, whom he sees as his closest
competitor in South Carolina, which votes on Feb. 20.
In
March, the race becomes a hodgepodge of primaries held in a short
period, so Mr. Trump’s drive-by style of campaigning could compensate
for any weaknesses on the ground.
And his victory in New Hampshire could ease doubts about the strength of his candidacy, including those he himself was having.
Mr. Trump had shown signs of reverting to form by Monday.
Speaking
in front of 5,000 people at the Verizon Wireless Arena in Manchester,
he goaded a woman who called out a vulgarism in reference to Mr. Cruz,
and then he repeated
the word from the stage. He also appeared at three smaller gatherings,
including one where he stood in the center of the room in his overcoat,
fielding mostly laudatory questions but some uncomfortable ones.
One
woman asked him if he would refund a contribution from a white
nationalist. He said he would. When she pressed him, he replied, “Don’t
be so angry.”
For more information, go to: www.beverlyhillsimmigrationlaw.com
No comments:
Post a Comment